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₿ibbidi ₿obbidi ₿oom's avatar

I appreciate the argument here, especially the critique of using unemployment as the blunt instrument of inflation control. But I wonder whether this essay underplays the corruption risk built into monetary elasticity itself…

Any system that permits discretionary creation of purchasing power creates a first-receiver problem (aka Cantillon effects). Whether through QE, deficit spending, bank credit, or emergency liquidity facilities, new money does not enter the economy evenly. It enters through institutions closest to the monetary spigot (ie The FED and banks), then works its way outward as higher asset prices, higher living costs, and deeper dependence on public debt.

So the question may not only be whether we can replace rate hikes with better fiscal tools. The harder question is whether any discretionary monetary regime can avoid becoming a political allocation machine a la “absolute power corrupts absolutely”. At some point, real resilience may require not just better management of money, but harder limits on who gets to create it in the first place.

Fred's avatar

Great read, thanks Jamie. A couple of thoughts:

- a very minor point: I think the wording “[money is] a monopoly of the state or its licensed agents (banks)”, you probably mean “the state and its licensed agents.” The monopoly is the state’s and its licensed agents simply act under the terms of their licenses; and

- a meatier point: a missing item in your seven-part inflation fighting toolkit is antitrust law. If we think of the recent post-Covid inflation episode - sellers inflation - that was driven by huge market power from highly concentrated markets, where CEOs literally bragged to their shareholders about hiking prices under the fig leaf of Covid impact on trade. We only have to look at the work Lina Khan started in her short time at the FTC to understand the impact of muscular antitrust in terms of freeing up bottlenecks.

Love your work!

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